Investigative Journalism | Exposing What Lies Beneath
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket present real-time odds on elections, raising questions about their accuracy and legal status. While some studies suggest they may predict outcomes comparably to polls, biases and the influence of large traders complicate interpretation. Legal battles are ongoing, affecting their future operations.
JD Vance is currently the leading candidate in the GOP with a 28.6% chance to win, followed by Donald Trump, despite constitutional issues, with odds between 6-14%. Gavin Newsom leads among Democrats at 9-10%, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and others trailing. The 2028 election dynamics showcase strong GOP metrics influenced by Trump.
🥇 Top 15 Betting Favorites for 2028 Presidential Election (Moneyline / Implied Odds) Read More