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The Odds Are Everywhere Now. Are They Any Good?

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket present real-time odds on elections, raising questions about their accuracy and legal status. While some studies suggest they may predict outcomes comparably to polls, biases and the influence of large traders complicate interpretation. Legal battles are ongoing, affecting their future operations.

The Odds Are Everywhere Now. Are They Any Good? Read More

Montgomery County Executive Race: Over/Under Odds for 2026’s Dysfunction Derby

The race to succeed Montgomery County Executive Marc Elrich features five declared Democratic candidates, each bringing unique odds and implications for the county’s future. Candidates like Jawando, Friedson, and Glass focus on various policies, from equity initiatives to affordability, while the absence of Republican contenders raises questions about political viability.

Montgomery County Executive Race: Over/Under Odds for 2026’s Dysfunction Derby Read More